Wall Street Divided Over US Treasury Yields Ahead of Year-End

10:51 - 8.10.2026


October 8, Fineko/abc.az. Wall Street strategists remain split over whether US Treasury yields will decline by the end of the year. Energy price shocks stemming from Middle Eastern conflicts, potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, and AI-driven growth continue to fuel uncertainty in the bond market. The 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.36%, while the 30-year yield surpassed 5.7%, reaching multi-decade highs.

Major investment banks have issued varying year-end forecasts for the 10-year yield: Bank of America and Citigroup project 5.0%, Barclays predicts 5.25%, JPMorgan targets 5.05%, Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley expect 4.8%, while Goldman Sachs presents the most optimistic view at 4.75%. Analysts warn that strong economic resilience and central bank tightening may keep short-term yields elevated.